Last week, a founder texted me: "We're f*cked. Competitor just raised $50M from [Tier 1 fund]."
I get this panic weekly. Some rival gets crowned and everyone assumes it's over.
Tome raised $43M for AI presentations. Millions watched their launch video. Gamma quietly shipped. Tome pivoted to solve a different problem. Gamma now has $50M+ in ARR.
Founders mistake press releases for product-market fit.
At Opendoor, Zillow entered iBuying with unlimited capital. Stock jumped 10% on the announcement. We celebrated. They'd validated our market. But Zillow was a software company with 40% margins trying to buy operational excellence overnight. They trusted models. We trusted the Phoenix contractor who warned us about polybutylene pipes insurers wouldn't cover. You can't acquire these lessons. You earn them house by house. Eighteen months later: $380M writeoff.
Operational excellence can't be bought. Customer obsession can't be outsourced.
Quibi burned $1.75B in six months. Great content. Zero customer pull.
x.ai (not the Elon one) raised $34M to automate scheduling. Calendly bootstrapped, building growth into the product itself: every invite creates another user. x.ai got acqui-hired. Calendly's worth $3B.
WhatsApp had 55 employees at their $19B exit. Google Hangouts had thousands. WhatsApp obsessed over one thing: messages deliver under one second on 2G. Google obsessed over roadmaps.
Money becomes the product. Fundraising becomes the strategy.
Capital accelerates. It doesn't discover. DoorDash already knew suburbs mattered while everyone fought over cities. OpenAI already knew compute was the moat. Uber already knew people would choose convenience over ownership. They spent to win, not to learn.
VCs anoint winners before customers do. The money creates distance. Your funded competitor hires that VP from the last successful adjacent company, launches in five markets, makes beautiful videos. You talk to customers.
What you don't see is how that $50M burns. People managing people. Offices for tomorrow. Infrastructure for scale that never comes. Trust me, I lived through this.
You shipped three times this week. Three problems solved. Three customers who told others. That's how kingdoms are built. One customer at a time.
Retention beats attention. Customer obsession beats launch obsession. Always has.
Capital writes headlines. Products write history.
"Capital writes headlines. Products write history."
This is a great line.
I am currently reading the book The Hard Thing About Hard Things and this just feels so similar to the book. Great read thanks for sharing! 😄